Enhanced qualitative probabilistic networks for resolving trade-offs

摘要

Qualitative probabilistic networks were designed to overcome, to at least some extent, the quantification problem known to probabilistic networks. Qualitative networks abstract from the numerical probabilities of their quantitative counterparts by using signs to summarise the probabilistic influences between their variables. One of the major drawbacks of these qualitative abstractions, however, is the coarse level of representation detail that does not provide for indicating strengths of influences. As a result, the trade-offs modelled in a network remain unresolved upon inference. We present an enhanced formalism of qualitative probabilistic networks to provide for a finer level of representation detail. An enhanced qualitative probabilistic network differs from a basic qualitative network in that it distinguishes between strong and weak influences. Now, if a strong influence is combined, upon inference, with a conflicting weak influence, the sign of the net influence may be readily determined. Enhanced qualitative networks are purely qualitative in nature, as basic qualitative networks are, yet allow for resolving some trade-offs upon inference.