Separators and adjustment sets in causal graphs: Complete criteria and an algorithmic framework

作者:

摘要

Principled reasoning about the identifiability of causal effects from non-experimental data is an important application of graphical causal models. This paper focuses on effects that are identifiable by covariate adjustment, a commonly used estimation approach. We present an algorithmic framework for efficiently testing, constructing, and enumerating m-separators in ancestral graphs (AGs), a class of graphical causal models that can represent uncertainty about the presence of latent confounders. Furthermore, we prove a reduction from causal effect identification by covariate adjustment to m-separation in a subgraph for directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and maximal ancestral graphs (MAGs). Jointly, these results yield constructive criteria that characterize all adjustment sets as well as all minimal and minimum adjustment sets for identification of a desired causal effect with multiple exposures and outcomes in the presence of latent confounding. Our results extend several existing solutions for special cases of these problems. Our efficient algorithms allowed us to empirically quantify the identifiability gap between covariate adjustment and the do-calculus in random DAGs and MAGs, covering a wide range of scenarios. Implementations of our algorithms are provided in the R package dagitty.

论文关键词:Causal inference,Covariate adjustment,Ancestral graphs,d-separation,m-separation,Complexity,Bayesian network,Knowledge representation

论文评审过程:Received 7 March 2018, Revised 21 December 2018, Accepted 28 December 2018, Available online 7 January 2019, Version of Record 21 January 2019.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artint.2018.12.006