A mean extrapolation technique for high reliability analysis

作者：

Highlights：

• Ten extrapolation models are employed to extrapolate the high reliability index from lower reliability index.

• The robust mean of the ten models is employed to estimate the high reliability index.

• A technique reusing the samples is also presented to further reduce the computational cost.

• We also perform AIC analysis for identifying the best ones among the ten models.

摘要

Highlights•Ten extrapolation models are employed to extrapolate the high reliability index from lower reliability index.•The robust mean of the ten models is employed to estimate the high reliability index.•A technique reusing the samples is also presented to further reduce the computational cost.•We also perform AIC analysis for identifying the best ones among the ten models.

论文关键词：Reliability,Reliability index,Failure probability,Asymptotic behavior,Mean extrapolation method

论文评审过程：Available online 8 August 2013.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2013.07.047