A CAEV epidemiological model for goat breeding

作者:

Highlights:

• A model for the genotype B Caprine Arthritis Encephalitis virus disease is presented.

• Only endemic and disease-free equilibria arise, and a transcritical bifurcation.

• Eradication is possible only for very small economically unaffordable herds.

• In absence of vaccination new strategies for fighting the disease are needed.

摘要

•A model for the genotype B Caprine Arthritis Encephalitis virus disease is presented.•Only endemic and disease-free equilibria arise, and a transcritical bifurcation.•Eradication is possible only for very small economically unaffordable herds.•In absence of vaccination new strategies for fighting the disease are needed.

论文关键词:Epidemiology,Breeding’s replacement rate,Small Ruminant Lentivirus,Vertical transmission,Horizontal transmission,Local stability,Global stability

论文评审过程:Available online 1 December 2013.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2013.11.030