Establishing a frame of reference for measuring disaster resilience

作者:

Highlights:

• Establishes the theoretical basis for properly quantifying and comparing the relative resilience of different systems or system dimensions.

• Justifies the need for defining appropriate parameter thresholds to quantitatively measure resilience and defines a new threshold related to system loss.

• Provides three case studies to illustrate the breadth of applicability of defining an appropriate frame of reference for resilience measurement.

摘要

Due to the increasing occurrence of disruptions across our global society, it has become critically important to understand the resilience of different socio-economic systems, i.e., to what extent those systems exhibit the ability both to resist a disruption and to recover from one once it occurs. In order to characterize this ability, however, one must be able to quantitatively measure the relative level of resilience that a given system displays in response to a disruptive event. Such a measurement should be easily understandable and straightforward to implement, but it should also utilize a consistent frame of reference so that one can properly compare the relative performance of different systems and assess the relative effectiveness of different resilience investments. With this in mind, this paper presents an improved approach for measuring system resilience that supports better decision making by providing both consistency and flexibility across different contexts. The theoretical basis for the approach is developed first, and then its advantages and limitations are illustrated in the context of several different practical examples.

论文关键词:Predicted resilience,Disaster operations management,Quantitative modeling,Decision support

论文评审过程:Received 29 March 2020, Revised 23 August 2020, Accepted 23 September 2020, Available online 30 September 2020, Version of Record 30 November 2020.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2020.113406