A partially linearized sigma point filter for latent state estimation in nonlinear time series models

摘要

A new technique for the latent state estimation of a wide class of nonlinear time series models is proposed. In particular, we develop a partially linearized sigma point filter in which random samples of possible state values are generated at the prediction step using an exact moment-matching algorithm and then a linear programming based procedure is used in the update step of the state estimation. The effectiveness of the new filtering procedure is assessed via a simulation example that deals with a highly nonlinear, multivariate time series representing an interest rate process.