On the number of claims until ruin in a two-barrier renewal risk model with Erlang mixtures

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In this paper, we consider the renewal risk model and we are interested in the distribution of the number ν of claims until the first time that insurer’s surplus process falls below zero (ruin) or exceeds a predefined upper barrier b>u (safety level), immediately after the payment of a claim. By using exponentially tilted measures we derive an expression for the joint generating function of ν and Sν, the surplus amount at termination time. This expression is built upon the generating functions of the overshoot and undershoot of the surplus process. Furthermore, we offer explicit results for the case where the claim amounts and the claim inter-arrival times follow mixed Erlang Distributions. We finally propose and implement an algorithm for the numerical calculation of the distributions of interest via appropriate computer algebra software.

论文关键词:primary,60G40,secondary,62P05,91B30,Renewal risk model,Two-sided first exit time,Number of claims to ruin,Exponentially tilted probability measure,Mixed Erlang distribution

论文评审过程:Received 10 March 2015, Revised 2 August 2015, Available online 20 August 2015, Version of Record 1 September 2015.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2015.08.013

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