Forecasting biotoxin contamination in mussels across production areas of the Portuguese coast with Artificial Neural Networks

作者:

Highlights:

• Shellfish contamination poses severe constraints to shellfisheries.

• Prediction of mussel contamination by diarrhetic shellfish poisoning (DSP) toxins.

• Better predictions for short-term forecasting horizons for all models evaluated.

• Using oceanographic, atmospheric and biological time-series variables.

• Accurate one-week predictions based on DSP and toxic phytoplankton cell variables.

摘要

•Shellfish contamination poses severe constraints to shellfisheries.•Prediction of mussel contamination by diarrhetic shellfish poisoning (DSP) toxins.•Better predictions for short-term forecasting horizons for all models evaluated.•Using oceanographic, atmospheric and biological time-series variables.•Accurate one-week predictions based on DSP and toxic phytoplankton cell variables.

论文关键词:Time series,Forecasting,Artificial Neural Networks,Biotoxins,Shellfish contamination,Harmful algal blooms

论文评审过程:Received 13 April 2022, Revised 10 September 2022, Accepted 12 September 2022, Available online 17 September 2022, Version of Record 1 October 2022.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2022.109895