A new approach for selecting portfolio of new product development projects

摘要

The most decisive factor that survives enterprises under stiff competition is the development of new product (NPD), and when entering the product development stage after the fuzzy front end, a best project portfolio should be finalized in order to potentially create expected revenue and competitive advantage. However, even it reaches the end of the fuzzy front stage; the NPD project is still significantly involved with uncertainties, complexities and fuzziness. To assist R&D managers making decision in this environment, this study proposes a new approach which combines fuzzy set theory and multi-criteria group decision making method into a NPD project portfolio selection model. This model takes into account project performance, project delivery and project risk, and formulates the selection decision of NPD project portfolio as a fuzzy linear programming problem. The illustrative example shows that the model proposed can generate projects with the highest success rate under limited resources and manpower.