A wavelet-based multiscale vector-ANN model to predict comovement of econophysical systems

作者:

Highlights:

• We build-up a vector ANN to be exploited as a nonlinear VAR model.

• The scheme is improved with a wavelet-based data preprocessing task.

• A comparison to VAR models from which data were simulated shows its superiority.

• The model is validated for real-world extremely fluctuating data.

• The wavelet-based vector ANN outperforms the ANN-based NAR model.

摘要

•We build-up a vector ANN to be exploited as a nonlinear VAR model.•The scheme is improved with a wavelet-based data preprocessing task.•A comparison to VAR models from which data were simulated shows its superiority.•The model is validated for real-world extremely fluctuating data.•The wavelet-based vector ANN outperforms the ANN-based NAR model.

论文关键词:Bivariate processes,Forecasting,Wavelet coefficients,Feedforward neural networks,Nonlinear autoregressive models,Econophysics

论文评审过程:Available online 28 March 2014.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2014.03.030