SPC forecasting system to mitigate the bullwhip effect and inventory variance in supply chains

作者：

Highlights：

• We study the impact of forecasting on the bullwhip effect and inventory variance.

• A forecasting system (SPC-FS) based on control charts is presented and evaluated.

• Simulation is adopted to evaluate SPC-FS in a supply chain employs OUT policy.

• SPC-FS leads to lower bullwhip effect and inventory variance than MA and ES.

• SPC-FS has less sensitivity to lead-time compared to the other methods.

摘要

•We study the impact of forecasting on the bullwhip effect and inventory variance.•A forecasting system (SPC-FS) based on control charts is presented and evaluated.•Simulation is adopted to evaluate SPC-FS in a supply chain employs OUT policy.•SPC-FS leads to lower bullwhip effect and inventory variance than MA and ES.•SPC-FS has less sensitivity to lead-time compared to the other methods.

论文关键词：Supply chain,Forecasting,Order-up-to,Bullwhip effect,Inventory variance,SPC,Control chart,Simulation

论文评审过程：Available online 30 September 2014.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2014.09.039