Enhancing accuracy and interpretability of ensemble strategies in credit risk assessment. A correlated-adjusted decision forest proposal

作者:

Highlights:

• CADF deals with multiple diversity sources to balance accuracy and interpretability.

• To enhance diversity, CADF merges different correlated-adjusted decision trees.

• Results suggest CADF can compete in accuracy with much more complex ensemble models.

• Superior accuracy of CADF is tested through different measures and statistical tests.

• Oppositely to ‘black-box’ models, CADF produces logical, human understanding rules.

摘要

•CADF deals with multiple diversity sources to balance accuracy and interpretability.•To enhance diversity, CADF merges different correlated-adjusted decision trees.•Results suggest CADF can compete in accuracy with much more complex ensemble models.•Superior accuracy of CADF is tested through different measures and statistical tests.•Oppositely to ‘black-box’ models, CADF produces logical, human understanding rules.

论文关键词:Ensemble strategies,Credit scoring,Decision forests,Diversity,Gradient boosting,Random forests

论文评审过程:Available online 5 March 2015.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2015.02.042