Prediction interval methodology based on fuzzy numbers and its extension to fuzzy systems and neural networks

作者:

Highlights:

• Fuzzy and neural network prediction intervals are derived based on fuzzy numbers.

• Fuzzy and neural network prediction intervals are derived based on fuzzy numbers.

• The new method provides more informative prediction intervals for load forecasting.

摘要

•Fuzzy and neural network prediction intervals are derived based on fuzzy numbers.•Fuzzy and neural network prediction intervals are derived based on fuzzy numbers.•The new method provides more informative prediction intervals for load forecasting.

论文关键词:Prediction interval,Fuzzy number,Neuronal network,Renewable energy,Microgrid

论文评审过程:Received 6 April 2018, Revised 8 September 2018, Accepted 20 October 2018, Available online 24 October 2018, Version of Record 2 November 2018.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2018.10.043