RC-Tweet: Modeling and predicting the popularity of tweets through the dynamics of a capacitor
作者：
Highlights：
• A breakthrough model for the popularity of tweets – the RC-Tweet – is introduced:
• Common dynamics between retweeting and the charging of a capacitor is revealed.
• RC-Tweet precisely fits the popularity evolution of tweets.
• RC-Tweet accurately predicts the popularity of tweets in the beginning of retweet cascades.
• Predictions are made in real time using only the posting time of retweets, without training.
摘要
•A breakthrough model for the popularity of tweets – the RC-Tweet – is introduced:•Common dynamics between retweeting and the charging of a capacitor is revealed.•RC-Tweet precisely fits the popularity evolution of tweets.•RC-Tweet accurately predicts the popularity of tweets in the beginning of retweet cascades.•Predictions are made in real time using only the posting time of retweets, without training.
论文关键词：Popularity prediction,Online social networks,Information diffusion,Social contagion,Social media,Retweet cascades prediction
论文评审过程：Received 1 February 2020, Revised 10 June 2020, Accepted 20 July 2020, Available online 31 July 2020, Version of Record 8 August 2020.
论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2020.113785
