A hesitant fuzzy wind speed forecasting system with novel defuzzification method and multi-objective optimization algorithm

作者:

Highlights:

• A novel hesitant fuzzy wind speed forecasting system is proposed for the first time.

• Multi-fuzzification methods are proposed to deal with the non-determinism problem.

• The weights of intervals are determined by multi-objective optimization algorithm.

• A new defuzzification model is developed to obtain accurate and reliable forecasts.

• The proposed system outperforms comparison models with high accuracy and efficiency.

摘要

•A novel hesitant fuzzy wind speed forecasting system is proposed for the first time.•Multi-fuzzification methods are proposed to deal with the non-determinism problem.•The weights of intervals are determined by multi-objective optimization algorithm.•A new defuzzification model is developed to obtain accurate and reliable forecasts.•The proposed system outperforms comparison models with high accuracy and efficiency.

论文关键词:Fuzzy time series forecasting,Hesitant fuzzy sets,Multifuzzification methods,Multiobjective optimization algorithm,Artificial intelligence

论文评审过程:Received 9 July 2020, Revised 21 October 2020, Accepted 22 November 2020, Available online 1 December 2020, Version of Record 13 January 2021.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2020.114364