Employee sentiment index: Predicting stock returns with online employee data

作者:

Highlights:

• The aggregate employee sentiment is a strong predictor of market returns.

• The employee sentiment has incremental value compared to other sentiment proxies.

• Market-wide employee sentiment has distinct effects than firm-specific sentiment.

• Aggregate employee sentiment predicts future cash flows and volatility.

• Big employee data can feed in expert financial models and predict asset ret

摘要

•The aggregate employee sentiment is a strong predictor of market returns.•The employee sentiment has incremental value compared to other sentiment proxies.•Market-wide employee sentiment has distinct effects than firm-specific sentiment.•Aggregate employee sentiment predicts future cash flows and volatility.•Big employee data can feed in expert financial models and predict asset ret

论文关键词:Employee sentiment,Online big data,Voluntary information disclosure,Business outlook predictions,Return predictability,Expert financial models

论文评审过程:Received 25 July 2020, Revised 9 January 2021, Accepted 25 May 2021, Available online 2 June 2021, Version of Record 8 June 2021.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115294