The impact of word sense disambiguation on stock price prediction

作者:

Highlights:

• Event-based stock price prediction systems typically ignore word meaning in text.

• We assess word sense disambiguation merits in event-based stock price prediction.

• Word sense disambiguation reduces the number of detected events with over 30%.

• There are less noisy price movement predictions for buy/sell signal generation.

• Modest improvements in buy/sell signal precision yield 70% increased excess returns.

摘要

•Event-based stock price prediction systems typically ignore word meaning in text.•We assess word sense disambiguation merits in event-based stock price prediction.•Word sense disambiguation reduces the number of detected events with over 30%.•There are less noisy price movement predictions for buy/sell signal generation.•Modest improvements in buy/sell signal precision yield 70% increased excess returns.

论文关键词:Stock price prediction,Event detection,Word sense disambiguation,Natural language processing

论文评审过程:Received 9 February 2020, Revised 23 August 2020, Accepted 4 July 2021, Available online 9 July 2021, Version of Record 13 July 2021.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115568