An influence diagram approach to automating lead time estimation in Agile Kanban project management

作者：

Highlights：

• Influence Diagram accounts for uncertainties affecting lead time estimation.

• Interactive tool to visually communicate probabilistic estimates to stakeholders.

• Sensitivity analysis identified team velocity to most drastically impact lead time.

• Cumulative distribution function can be an aid to prioritize project backlog queue.

摘要

•Influence Diagram accounts for uncertainties affecting lead time estimation.•Interactive tool to visually communicate probabilistic estimates to stakeholders.•Sensitivity analysis identified team velocity to most drastically impact lead time.•Cumulative distribution function can be an aid to prioritize project backlog queue.

论文关键词：Influence diagram,Bayesian belief network,Agile kanban,Project management,Lead time estimation,Explainable expert systems

论文评审过程：Received 16 June 2020, Revised 8 July 2021, Accepted 2 September 2021, Available online 7 September 2021, Version of Record 16 September 2021.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115866