Modelling spatial dependence for Loss Given Default in peer-to-peer lending

作者:

Highlights:

• We suggest a flexible two-stage Loss Given Default model with spatial effects.

• Spatial effects improve the predictive accuracy of the Loss Given Default model.

• The proposed approach provides more conservative estimates of the expected shortfall.

摘要

•We suggest a flexible two-stage Loss Given Default model with spatial effects.•Spatial effects improve the predictive accuracy of the Loss Given Default model.•The proposed approach provides more conservative estimates of the expected shortfall.

论文关键词:Loss Given Default,Two-stage approach,Peer-to-peer lending,Spatial effects

论文评审过程:Received 1 February 2021, Revised 25 September 2021, Accepted 23 November 2021, Available online 18 December 2021, Version of Record 22 December 2021.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.116295