Multiresolutional statistical machine learning for testing interdependence of power markets: A Variational Mode Decomposition-based approach

作者:

Highlights:

• We investigate the multiscale predictability between European energy markets.

• A variation mode decomposition-based statistical methodology is defined and used.

• The method allows extracting the main hidden patterns between time series.

• A novel multiscaled neuro-autoregressive model is designed and effectively applied.

• The results reveal a dependence across long- and medium-run investment time horizons.

摘要

•We investigate the multiscale predictability between European energy markets.•A variation mode decomposition-based statistical methodology is defined and used.•The method allows extracting the main hidden patterns between time series.•A novel multiscaled neuro-autoregressive model is designed and effectively applied.•The results reveal a dependence across long- and medium-run investment time horizons.

论文关键词:Variational Mode Decomposition,Multiscaled cross-correlation analysis,Multiscale causality,Multiscaled Neural Network,Energy exchange,COVID-19

论文评审过程:Received 10 May 2021, Revised 11 June 2022, Accepted 9 July 2022, Available online 16 July 2022, Version of Record 23 July 2022.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118161