A Bayesian-driven Monte Carlo approach for managing construction schedule risks of infrastructures under uncertainty

作者：

Highlights：

• A data transformation approach was developed to construct Bayesian network.

• Bayesian-driven Monte Carlo approach was developed for schedule risk management.

• A case study was conducted to verify the developed approach and tool.

摘要

•A data transformation approach was developed to construct Bayesian network.•Bayesian-driven Monte Carlo approach was developed for schedule risk management.•A case study was conducted to verify the developed approach and tool.

论文关键词：Construction schedule risks,Bayesian-driven Monte Carlo simulation,Infrastructures,Risk management,Uncertainty analysis

论文评审过程：Received 9 May 2022, Revised 10 August 2022, Accepted 7 September 2022, Available online 13 September 2022, Version of Record 18 September 2022.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118810