Agent development as a strategy shaper

摘要

This paper studies to what extent agent development changes one’s own strategy. While this question has many general implications it is of special interest to the study of peer designed agents (PDAs), which are computer agents developed by non-experts. This latter emerging technology, has been widely advocated in recent literature for the purpose of replacing people in simulations and investigating human behavior. Its main premise is that strategies programmed into these agents reliably reflect, to some extent, the behavior used by their programmers in real life. We show that PDA development has an important side effect that has not been addressed to date—the process that merely attempts to capture one’s strategy is also likely to affect the developer’s strategy. This result has many implications concerning the appropriate design of PDA-based simulations as well as the validity of using PDAs for studying individual decision making. The phenomenon is demonstrated experimentally, using two very different application domains and several performance measures. Our findings suggest that the effects on one’s strategy arise both in situations where it is potentially possible for people to reason about the optimal strategy (in which case PDA development will enhance the use of an optimal strategy) and in those where calculating the optimal strategy is computationally challenging (in which case PDA development will push people to use more effective strategies, on average). Since in our experiments PDA development actually improved the developer’s strategy, PDA development can be suggested as a means for improving people’s problem solving skills. Finally, we show that the improvement achieved in people’s strategies through agent development is not attributed to the expressive aspect of agent development per-se but rather there is a crucial additional gain in the process of designing and programming ones strategy into an agent.