Forecasting research trends using population dynamics model with Burgers’ type interaction

作者：

Highlights：

• We model and simulate research trends in scientific publishing.

• The analysis is done on data drawn from the ISI Web of Science.

• The model is able to statistically significantly reproduce trends in research activity in the fields of Filtration and Rectification.

• The model can support R&D departments in future project and research fund allocation.

摘要

Highlights•We model and simulate research trends in scientific publishing.•The analysis is done on data drawn from the ISI Web of Science.•The model is able to statistically significantly reproduce trends in research activity in the fields of Filtration and Rectification.•The model can support R&D departments in future project and research fund allocation.

论文关键词：Research trends,Population dynamics,Momentum,Burgers’ equation

论文评审过程：Received 7 August 2013, Revised 7 November 2013, Accepted 12 November 2013, Available online 30 November 2013.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joi.2013.11.003