How to improve the prediction based on citation impact percentiles for years shortly after the publication date?

作者：

Highlights：

• Is it possible to improve citation impact measurements by the consideration of journal impact and other covariates?

• The dataset contains 475,391 journal papers published in 1980 and their annual citation counts (from 1980 to 2010).

• We use percentiles of citations as an indicator of citation impact.

• Our results show that citation impact measurement shortly after publication can really be improved by considering covariates.

摘要

•Is it possible to improve citation impact measurements by the consideration of journal impact and other covariates?•The dataset contains 475,391 journal papers published in 1980 and their annual citation counts (from 1980 to 2010).•We use percentiles of citations as an indicator of citation impact.•Our results show that citation impact measurement shortly after publication can really be improved by considering covariates.

论文关键词：Citation impact normalization,Percentile,Short citation window

论文评审过程：Received 13 August 2013, Revised 18 November 2013, Accepted 19 November 2013, Available online 11 December 2013.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joi.2013.11.005