How good is a model based on bibliometric indicators in predicting the final decisions made by peers?

作者：

Highlights：

• Bibliometric indicators can be useful as a decision support tool in peer evaluation at academic positions.

• Bibliometric models have a significantly better predicting power than a purely random model.

• The predictive power of a model based on bibliometric indicators can be improved if applied in a situation where the single parameter assessed is the research performance.

摘要

•Bibliometric indicators can be useful as a decision support tool in peer evaluation at academic positions.•Bibliometric models have a significantly better predicting power than a purely random model.•The predictive power of a model based on bibliometric indicators can be improved if applied in a situation where the single parameter assessed is the research performance.

论文关键词：Peer-review,Bibliometric indicators,Predictive power,Auxiliary instrument

论文评审过程：Received 15 October 2013, Revised 16 January 2014, Accepted 23 January 2014, Available online 19 February 2014.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joi.2014.01.012