Survive or perish: Investigating the life cycle of academic journals from 1950 to 2013 using survival analysis methods

作者:

Highlights:

• The average survival rate of all the academic journals presents a rising-decreasing-rising pattern.

• The third year after commencement is a peak year for academic journals to cease publication.

• Academic journals that provide online formats at launch time have a higher probability of surviving.

• Academic journals that provide print versions at launch time are more likely to survive.

• Peer-reviewed academic journals and journals that are published in multiple languages have a higher chance of survival.

摘要

•The average survival rate of all the academic journals presents a rising-decreasing-rising pattern.•The third year after commencement is a peak year for academic journals to cease publication.•Academic journals that provide online formats at launch time have a higher probability of surviving.•Academic journals that provide print versions at launch time are more likely to survive.•Peer-reviewed academic journals and journals that are published in multiple languages have a higher chance of survival.

论文关键词:Academic journals,Survival analysis,Life cycle,Propensity score matching

论文评审过程:Received 6 August 2017, Revised 3 February 2018, Accepted 3 February 2018, Available online 22 February 2018, Version of Record 22 February 2018.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joi.2018.02.001