Predicting publication long-term impact through a combination of early citations and journal impact factor

作者：

Highlights：

• We investigate the accuracy of long term impact prediction.

• Combining early citations with the journal impact factor.

• For publications sets of all citation time window + subject category combinations.

• We measure the prediction power of all such combinations.

• Relying on 2004–2006 WoS indexed publications authored by Italian researchers.

摘要

•We investigate the accuracy of long term impact prediction.•Combining early citations with the journal impact factor.•For publications sets of all citation time window + subject category combinations.•We measure the prediction power of all such combinations.•Relying on 2004–2006 WoS indexed publications authored by Italian researchers.

论文关键词：Research assessment,Citation time window,Regression analysis,Bibliometrics

论文评审过程：Received 17 January 2018, Revised 13 November 2018, Accepted 13 November 2018, Available online 27 November 2018, Version of Record 27 November 2018.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joi.2018.11.003