Predicting publication productivity for researchers: A piecewise Poisson model

作者：

Highlights：

• A regression model is proposed for researchers to predict their number of publications.

• It can well predict the evolutionary trend and distribution of the number of publications.

• It has the potential to improve prediction precision with multiple factors.

摘要

•A regression model is proposed for researchers to predict their number of publications.•It can well predict the evolutionary trend and distribution of the number of publications.•It has the potential to improve prediction precision with multiple factors.

论文关键词：Scientific publications,Productivity prediction,Data modeling

论文评审过程：Received 30 July 2019, Revised 16 May 2020, Accepted 22 May 2020, Available online 17 June 2020, Version of Record 17 June 2020.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joi.2020.101065