Predicting the Q of junior researchers using data from the first years of publication

作者：

Highlights：

• This article presents a formula to predict the stable Q of junior researchers using data of their five years after the beginning of their research career.

• The predicted Q values are closer to the stable values observed than the current Q values of a junior researcher.

• We also quantify the importance of the most prolific senior co-author on each junior researcher's career.

摘要

•This article presents a formula to predict the stable Q of junior researchers using data of their five years after the beginning of their research career.•The predicted Q values are closer to the stable values observed than the current Q values of a junior researcher.•We also quantify the importance of the most prolific senior co-author on each junior researcher's career.

论文关键词：Junior researcher,Research performance,Deep learning,Linear regression

论文评审过程：Received 30 May 2020, Revised 23 December 2020, Accepted 3 January 2021, Available online 16 January 2021, Version of Record 16 January 2021.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joi.2021.101130